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COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAYOFF MOCK STANDINGS


SEC CROWDS TOP OF CFP STANDINGS

With the advent of the College Football Playoff, the BCS and its standings have been consigned to the ash heap of history. The 13-member selection committee will make all the decisions. Polls and computer rankings (supposedly) will no longer matter. There will be no more standings and no more projections ...

But that just can't be. College football has always been about rankings, from the preseason to the postseason. There's no way we should have to wait 'till the last week of October to find out where everyone stands. And there is a lot at stake here. 

Besides the top four teams that will advance to the Playoff, there are eight other slots up for grabs for the 'New Years' Six' bowl games. The highest-ranked champion of the non-power "Group of Five" conferences is guaranteed one of the spots.

Back in the spring, we experimented and tinkered to come up with a methodology that will generate a rankings system similar to what the committee might produce. Beginning this week, we will unveil our rankings every Monday morning to show you where everybody stands:

(CFP STANDINGS | NOTES AND ANALYSIS)


WHAT CFP STANDINGS SHOULD LOOK LIKE

There will be no more BCS standings. In fact, there will be no standings with a formula that we can reliably project when the College Football Playoff era begins in the 2014 season. The 13-person selection committee will have sole discretion on which teams make the four-team playoff field.

A few months ago, we introduced a standings model for the committee, and asked for readers' suggestions and comments. We received a healthy amount of responses, most of which were very helpful. After taking much into consideration, we have revised our proposed standings for use by the playoff committee.

We're not arrogant or foolhardy enough to think the committee will necessarily adopt our formula, or admit it publicly. But we do hope that by starting this discussion, we'll move into a more transparent process where we won't be greeted with major surprises come football's version of Selection Sunday.

We more or less stuck to the main criteria, which the committee has emphasized as crucial in its selection process. But we have made major revisions to the distribution of each category:

1) AP poll (40 percent): The eyeball test has to mean something, and the AP poll is the only poll that's completely transparent, with each voter's ballot available for the public to scrutinize each week. It's also the most prestigious poll that's widely used by the media. (Increased from 20 percent)

2) Computer rankings (40 percent): Kenneth Massey compiles the median and mean rankings of each team from more than 100 computers each week. It's less biased than the human polls, and the large sample size removes undue influence by outliers. (kept at 40 percent)

3) Strength of schedule (10 percent): While there are many models to choose from, Jeff Sagarin has the most time-tested SoS formula - including results from all Division I games, FBS and FCS - that's meticulously and promptly updated each week. But since SoS is a component in every computer ranking, too much influence by the SoS would create a double-jeopardy redundancy. (Decreased from 30 percent)

4) Conference championship (10 percent): Only teams that win their conference championships will get the bonus, and it has to be a significant one. A team that fails to win its conference must be so highly-ranked in every other aspect to jump champions from other Big Five conferences. (kept at 10 percent)

With that in mind, check out what the standings would've looked like after Week 2:

(COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAYOFF STANDINGS)


COLLEGE FOOTBALL HAS IT OWN SUPER BOWL

Playoffs? You want playoffs, and finally, you've got playoffs.

Nearly a century-and-a-half after the first college football game was played in 1869, a playoff will decide the national champion in college football's highest division. In this, the inaugural season of the College Football Playoff, a four-team tournament will be held at the end of the season to determine the 2014 champion.

Bill Hancock, the executive director of the CFP, is understandably stoked.

"The playoff will be extremely popular, the fans will love it," Hancock predicted when he spoke to Bleacher Report. "It's a joy to be involved in something that will be an iconic event."

Hancock mentioned the "bracket" aspect of the CFP, which is no doubt foreign to top-division college football but familiar to all NCAA championships, particularly the men's basketball tournament, which he ran for more than a decade. The CFP won't be March Madness, as it's only a four-team, three-game tournament, but it's a significant departure from what decided the mythical national championship in the past.

(FULL ARTICLE)


SEC CAN THANK UCLA FOR BCS RUN

The SEC dominated the second half of the BCS era, winning seven championships and firmly establishing itself as the premier conference in college football. That has led to an expansion of its footprint, added riches from television contracts, and a nascent network to be launched this August.

But none of it happens without the biggest upset in BCS history, a game that took place on the West Coast on the final day of the 2006 regular season. The end of one dynasty beget another.

USC entered its annual rivalry game in 2006 ranked No. 2 in the BCS standings. The Trojans were poised to appear in an unprecedented third consecutive BCS title game and all they had to do was handling their downtrodden, 5-6 crosstown rival. And why not? USC had won seven straight in the series and mauled the Bruins the year before, 66-19.

A simple USC victory would've set up a BCS title game against Ohio State, leaving Florida (and the SEC) on the sideline. It would've been an eighth consecutive season without an undisputed national title for the conference. After Tennessee won the first championship of the BCS era in 1998, the SEC only appeared in one title game in the subsequent seven seasons, and that resulted in LSU's split title with USC in 2003.

There was little doubt that USC would go on to trounce the Buckeyes in the BCS title game as Florida eventually did. The Trojans would've won their third national title in four years and left little doubt as to who truly rules the BCS. They likely would've gone to another one or two BCS title games in the following two seasons.

But that dynasty inexplicably got derailed on that December afternoon at the Rose Bowl by the underdog Bruins. USC's high-powered offense was totally stifled and shut out in the second half. It was the only time in Pete Carroll's final eight seasons at USC that his team would be held under double digits.

(FULL ARTICLE)


COLLEGE FOOTBALL SHOULD DUMP DIVISIONS

With all the bellyaching about the recent decisions by the SEC and ACC to keep eight-game conference schedules, a most important point was largely missed. The scheduling setup makes competition within those conferences unfair.

Whenever there's an imbalance in the strengths of the conference's divisions, the race for the championship will become lopsided. Essentially, you'll rarely get the two best teams to play in the conference championship games.

And on top of that there's also the issue of preserving the familiarity and cohesion within the conferences. When the SEC decided to adopt the 6+1 model, with seven of the eight conference games permanently set, it means that six teams within your own conference won't set foot on your campus for an entire decade. In the case of the ACC, teams will see Notre Dame - technically not a member - more often than a few actual member schools.

There is an easy way to fix this, and it's already been put on the table: College football should dump divisions.

(FULL ARTICLE)


OTHER CONFERENCES SHOULD BOYCOTT SEC

The SEC wants to have its cake and eat it, too. The other conferences shouldn't lend it a fork.

The SEC's long-awaited resolution to its scheduling question is to not do a dadgum thing. It will continue to play eight conference games with just this one caveat - each school is mandated to play another Big 5 conference team each season beginning in 2016.

But why should the other four of the Big 5 conferences accommodate this? What's in it for them?

By the 2016 season, the SEC will be the only one of the Big 5 conferences to play only eight conference games. The ACC also plays eight, but five conference members must play Notre Dame each year, so technically that makes it 8.35. The Pac-12, Big 12 and Big Ten will all be playing nine conference games by 2016.

Our previous extensive study of the 2014 out-of-conference (OOC) schedule already revealed that, across the board, the SEC plays the weakest non-conference games. Each of its 14 members plays one FCS team in its four OOC games and six of them don't play any OOC games on the road. Four SEC members have OOC schedules ranked in the bottom 10 among 124 non-independent FBS teams.

By keeping the the eight-game conference schedule, the SEC essentially tips the competitive scale in its favor for both the top and bottom teams. For teams vying to get into the four-team College Football Playoff field, they improve their chances by needing to win fewer games against top competition. For the cellar dwellers, they may qualify for a bowl berth with a mere 2-6 conference record.

(FULL ARTICLE)


MORE POSTS


THE SUPER BOWL OF POKER

Football's Namesake in the Card Game Industry

When talking about America's sports industry, "Super Bowl" would most likely mean the NFL's finals. Every time we mention Super Bowl in front of football fans, stories of how Pittsburgh Steelers battled for six Super Bowl victories would surface. Or perhaps, we would hear about how the reigning champs Baltimore Ravens made a triumphant run this season. For non-football fans, Superbowl XLVII may be most remembered for Beyonce's iconic performance during the halftime show. But for poker enthusiasts especially those who witnessed Stu Ungar's greatness in the 80s, "Super Bowl" meant the Superbowl of Poker (SBOP).

Before the World Series of Poker enjoyed its iconic status today, one of its competitors was the SBOP. You see, the SBOP was a brainchild of former 1972 WSOP Main Event Champion, Amarillo Slim. Before the competition made its debut in a competitive industry, poker fans only tuned to the WSOP events. For the former champ, he saw this setting as an opportunity. "The World Series of Poker was so successful that everybody wanted more than one tournament," Slim said in a report by Poker News. See, he wanted to take poker all over the world, be it in Germany, Hong Kong, or with neighboring states. And so, a different Super Bowl was born. SBOP may not be as large as today's PartyPoker-sponsored World Poker Tour, but it was one poker tournament that card gaming experts and amateurs alike turned to, especially in a booming entertainment industry.

Much like football's Super Bowl, the event housed competent players and some are even included in today's Poker Hall of Fame. The 1986 Deuce-to-Seven Lowball event in particular, was among the most talked events in SBOP history. See, the final three competitors of the event are now Hall of Famers. There was Doyle Brunson, Billy Baxter, and Johnny Chan. In a way, they paralleled the likes of football greats Jerry Rice, Jim Brown, or Joe Montana. Unfortunately, while the Super Bowl in football flourished, the event's namesake in poker was the complete opposite.

The lack of stability and a fixed venue prompted SBOP's operators to discontinue the once glorious event. Luckily, after the fall of SBOP, multiple poker tournaments arose. There's the West's staple European Poker Tour which made rounds in poker hubs like Germany and France. One can say that even with SBOP's fall, it was a blessing in itself since it paved way to a new generation of poker players.

BCS STANDINGS ARCHIVES

The BCS TV contract may have changed hands twice (ABC 1998-2005, FOX 2006-2009, ESPN 2010-2013) and so goes the web site, to whoever's the current media master. But the Guru maintains the most comprehensive BCS standings and statistics anywhere.

From the inception of the BCS in 1998 through its end in 2013, the standings are archived here on the Guru's own server, so they're not going anywhere.

2013 STANDINGS*

2012 STANDINGS*

2011 STANDINGS*

2010 STANDINGS*

2009 STANDINGS*

2008 STANDINGS*

2007 STANDINGS*

2006 STANDINGS**

2005 STANDINGS#

2004 STANDINGS#

2003 STANDINGS#

2002 STANDINGS#

2001 STANDINGS#

2000 STANDINGS#

1999 STANDINGS**

1998 STANDINGS**

* Complete BCS standings from preseason to final, including all placements (2007-2013)

** Complete BCS standings with all weeks in html (1998-1999, 2006)

# Complete BCS standings with all weeks in PDF (2000-2005)

   

 

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