BCS GURU



 

The Sounding Board (DEC. 3, 2006)

From Bob ...

Just as I suspected, USC gets beat by a motivated UCLA crosstown rival, and Florida sneaks into the BCS Championship game.

Of course, yes, USC won't be rated no. 1 if it beats Michigan because it has two losses. But if Michigan, Florida, and Boise State all win, there will be all the more BCS controversy, and maybe we'll get closer to a playoff system. Michigan could then get voted no. 1 in the AP poll if it beats USC convincingly and Florida gets a close win over Ohio State.

The Guru Says ...

There won't be a split national championship this season for this reason: Florida also jumped Michigan into the No. 2 spot in the AP poll.

The BCS national champion will be the winner of the game on Jan. 8. While the AP is free to vote for its own champion, the AP voters will not vault a No. 3 team over a No. 2 team that just defeated the No. 1 team, no matter how closer or sloppy the title game is. It's safe to assume the Ohio State-Florida winner will be crowned champion by the AP as well.


From Neil ...

Are there any BCS rules that regulate the number of teams from one conference playing in the BCS games? The Badgers will end up ranked probably 6th or 7th in the BCS rankings with a record of 11-1, and tied for 2nd place in the Big Ten. Talk about no respect.

The Guru Says ...

There is a rule that prohibits a conference from sending more than two teams to BCS bowls in any given year. So yes, the Badgers will end up in the CapitalOne Bowl, even if they finish in the top 5.
 
The rule is a bit unfair. Considering that the Big Ten's top three teams are 34-2, why shouldn't it send three teams?

From Steve ...

Great site, but I have to correct you on one assertion you are currently making - and that is that USC ... "the Trojans are in position to go for their third national title in four years".
 
Actually, they will be playing for their second. In 2003, the BCS title was won by LSU in the Sugar Bowl. Sure, the Trojans got the AP nod - but they were 3rd in the BCS final poll that year, and did not play in the BCS game. It seems highly inaccurate for the BCS Guru to essentially say that the AP poll - which isn't even used in the BCS, constitutes a national championship.
 
The Trojans have the opportunity to play for their 2nd in 3 years. Give the LSU Tigers their due.

The Guru Says ...

I must say my assertion is not incorrect because I wrote "national title," not "BCS title."
 
The Trojans in 2003 won the AP poll, which is long considered to be the more prestigious and legitimate poll whenever there's a split. While I won't argue that LSU won a share of the 2003 title, it would be wrong to say that the Tigers were the sole champions because they won the BCS title game.
 
And despite the fact I'm the BCS Guru, I'm an independent observer not at all influenced by the poobahs who make up the BCS. And as a former scribe, I am of the belief that as long as there isn't a playoff, and as long as the AP poll remains independent of the BCS system, the champion the AP crowns is just as legitimate (if not more) than the BCS champion.

From Longhorn John ...

Is it true that you are required to win your conference title in order to play in the BCS title game?  If so, is that a new rule?  Do you have any links to a legitimate source that can confirm or deny this?

There has been a lot of talk about the Michigan / Ohio State loser sliding into the title game. However, I've also heard talk that the Michigan / Ohio State loser cannot go the the BCS title game by rule (since they will not be the Big 10 champ).

The Guru Says ...

There is no rule in the BCS setup that requires a team to win its conference to play in the championship game. That was contemplated after the 2001 Nebraska team that failed to win its division (Big 12 North) somehow made it to the title game but the rule change was never implemented.

For BCS bylaws, see this link: http://www.bcsfootball.org/bcsfb/eligibility


From Jay ...

Wanted to ask you what Notre Dame's situation is. ... My understanding is that they need to finish in the top eight instead of the top 12 and won't get the full bundle of cash. Instead, they get a guaranteed chunk every year.

The Guru Says ...

If the Irish are in the top 8, they are automatically in. and if they're in the top 14, they will be in the at-large pool. ND, with a 10-2 record, won't be in the top 8 but definitely will be in the top 14 in the final standings. The Irish will be picked by a BCS bowl as an at-large, most likely the Sugar Bowl.

As far as payout, the arrangement used to be ND gets to keep all of the estimated $14-$17 million payout, and not have to share with other conference members. But to reduce the potential annual swing of $10 million, Notre Dame has opted for a lower-risk, lower-return option. The school, beginning this season, gets about $1.5 million every year guaranteed, and adds $4.5 million if the Irish play in a BCS game.


From Troy ...

You list the Fiesta, Rose, Sugar and Orange bowls in the Race for No. 2 page. Since you donít have the #1 vs. #2 team in any of those bowls, which bowl game will be hosting the National Championship this year?

The Guru Says ...

This is the first year of the "Double Host" system, which means the four bowls will be played, and then a week later, a national championship game will be played between the No. 1 and No. 2 teams.

This year, the title game will be hosted by the Fiesta Bowl (at the new University of Phoenix Stadium, home of the NFL Arizona Cardinals), but it's not actually the Fiesta Bowl game. And the title game will rotate to the four sites just like before, with Sugar, Orange and Rose (in that order) in the next three years hosting the game.

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