SHOCKING NEWS ... USC
IS NO. 1
AMELIA ISLAND, Fla. (Aug. 22,
2007) -- With both the AP poll and coaches poll now available, the BCS
Guru has released his 2007 pre-season BCS rankings.
And surprisingly, Southern California is ranked first!
All kidding aside, the Trojans
are an overwhelming choice in the
AP poll and just slightly less so in the
coaches poll. Keep in mind the pre-season rankings are little more
than the combination of the two human polls, one of which (AP) is not
even in the BCS formula. The other human poll, Harris Interactive,
won't be released until late September. Five of the six computer
ratings will be made available after the first weekend of games; the
sixth, Peter Wolfe, won't be unveiled until Oct. 14, the first week of
the official BCS standings.
Still, a few
observations may be gleamed off the pre-season polls:
1. USC is such an overwhelming
choice as the pre-season No. 1 -- for the third time in four seasons
-- that if the Trojans go undefeated, they will be a lock for New
2. Ditto for Louisiana State.
3. The Big Ten and Big 12
champions, whoever they may be, will have a hard time getting into the
national championship game if they fail to go undefeated. The
pre-season strength of schedule ratings are quite a bit in favor of
the SEC and the Pac-10 and down on the Big Ten and Big 12. The Big
East is somewhere in the middle, and the ACC, after Virginia Tech
loses to LSU in Baton Rouge, might as well pack up its tent for this
4. The Nov. 23 game between
Hawaii and Boise State might be the biggest one in WAC history, as a
possible BCS berth might be on the line. And both teams have a good
shot to be undefeated going into that showdown in Honolulu. Unless ...
5. TCU pulls off the big upset
in Austin on Sept. 8 and remains unbeaten through the regular season.
In that case, then the Horned Frogs get the at-large bid into the BCS
because their computer rankings and human poll rankings are bound to
be ahead of the WAC champion.
Now, observations aside, the
BCS Guru will make one fearless prediction: Only one team will go
undefeated in the regular season, and that team will NOT be USC.
Only LSU will bring an
undefeated record into the Louisiana Superdome for the championship
game. The Tigers, despite a tough early-season non-conference game
against Virginia Tech, have a very favorable schedule. They will play
their two toughest SEC opponents -- Florida and Auburn -- at home.
They will miss two top SEC teams this year -- Tennessee and Georgia.
And they do not have any killer back-to-back weeks.
USC, on the other hand, has a
brutal schedule with most of the beasts on the road. Nebraska looms as
the second game of the season. Notre Dame, with a mediocre squad, will
not mow its grass just so it can throw its entire season on the line
against the Trojans. Oh, and between Oct. 20 and Nov. 22, USC will
play four of its five games on the road, including stops at South
Bend, Eugene, Berkeley and Tempe. Its lone home game in that stretch
is against Oregon State, which ended USC's Pac-10 winning streak a
So there you have it. The Guru
sees a clear No. 1 at the end of the regular season and a dogfight
(uh, is that now considered to be in bad taste?) for the second spot,
with the BCS computers expected to do the dirty work.
Should be an interesting
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